Markets
Risk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
Live Economic Dataas of 2026-05-04
WTI Crude Oil
$109.76barrel+4.2%
Brent Crude Oil
$118.26barrel-4.8%
Henry Hub Natural Gas
$2.67MMBtu+1.5%
US Crude Oil Stocks
457.2Kthousand barrels-0.5%
US Crude Oil Production
13.6Kthousand b/d-0.1%
US Crude Oil Imports
5.5Kthousand b/d-4.7%
Correlation with WTI Crude Oil: r = 0.23(weak positive, n=43)
FREDEIA
31
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
35
Moderate volume — adequate liquidity for most positions
20
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
30
Resolves in ~47d — longer horizon, lower time pressure
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". ...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 100¢