MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
33
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
10
vol=$4,722,398, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a
57
σ=4.67%/day, AC=-0.31, 31 points
15
This contract has minimal resolution risk as it relies on a clear, objective binary outcome (whether Renan Santos wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election) verifiable through official results from the TSE, Brazil's credible electoral authority. The resolution criteria explicitly defer to official government sources to resolve ambiguities, and the June 30, 2027 deadline provides a reasonable buffer for result confirmation.
55
Platform default: polymarket
40
144d to resolution, volume stable
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 7¢