Polymarketother

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

15 outcomes

65%Flávio Bolsonaro

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ResolvesOct 4, 2026142d 21h

RiskModerate

Price History

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

Moderate volume — adequate liquidity for most positions

Price near 50% — maximum uncertainty, expect swings

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

Resolves in ~143d — longer horizon, lower time pressure

Order Book

Top Holders

Related Contracts

Anti-correlatedPolymarket33¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

If Flávio Bolsonaro wins the 2026 election outright (A is YES), he cannot finish in second place in the first round (B is NO). These are mutually exclusive outcomes.

CorrelatedPolymarket0¢

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Polymarket

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes recei...

Polymarket

65¢

KalshiN/A PredictItN/A

Consensus Landscape

Poly

0%25%50%75%100%

Poly: 65¢