MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
24
Low Risk5-dimension assessment
24
vol=$350,130, spread=0.0¢, OI=n/a
11
σ=0.09%/day, AC=-0.05, 6 points
15
This contract has low resolution risk due to objective, verifiable criteria: Bitcoin price on a specific date/time from a clearly identified exchange (Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at noon ET) with a precise numerical threshold ($56,000). The only minor risks are potential Binance data feed errors or extreme edge cases (e.g., exchange outage exactly at noon), but these are highly unlikely.
55
Platform default: polymarket
20
0d to resolution, volume rising
Order Book
Top Holders
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market...
Poly
0%25%50%75%100%
Poly: 100¢
Calibration Edge · Pro
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