MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
46
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
80
Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted
32
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
20
Resolves in ~510d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk
Low liquidityLong-dated
Order Book
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Kalshi
If Harriet Hageman wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cross-Platform: Harriet Hageman
PredictIt98¢
Kalshi90¢
Spread8¢
-2.8% fee-adjusted edge
Kalshi
PI
0%25%50%75%100%
Kalshi: 90¢
PI: 98¢