Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

vol=$2,561,478, spread=0.0¢, OI=491458

σ=2.56%/day, AC=-0.26, 31 points

The contract has relatively clear binary criteria—US must acquire formal governance/jurisdiction over Greenland territory, excluding mere leasing—which is verifiable through official announcements and legal documentation. However, moderate risk exists around potential ambiguity in what constitutes 'formal governance' (e.g., could a treaty-based arrangement or autonomous zone under US sovereignty be disputed?), and the requirement for explicit joint announcement creates a potential gap if acquisition occurs without mutual announcement.

Platform default: kalshi

984d to resolution, volume stable