Kalshiother

Which party will win the House race for MI-12?

2 outcomes

99%Democratic party

Trade →

ResolvesNov 3, 2027509d 8h5 vol3\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Also trades on Polymarket (2 outcomes)

Price History

Risk Profile

Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment

Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation

Resolves in ~509d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Low liquidityManipulation riskLong-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

CorrelatedPolymarket94¢

Which party will win the House race for MI-11?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for MI-12 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Cross-Platform: Democratic party

Kalshi99¢

Polymarket94¢

Spread5¢

+3.8% fee-adjusted edge

Consensus Landscape

Poly

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Poly: 94¢

Kalshi: 99¢

Which party will win the House race for MI-12?

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-12 House seat?

Which party will win the House race for MI-11?

Which party will win the House race for MI-13?

Which party will win the House race for MI-10?

Which party will win the House race for MI-11?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Cross-Platform: Democratic party