Kalshiother

Which party will win the House race for CA-47?

2 outcomes

96%Democratic party

ResolvesNov 3, 2027509d 12h2.6K vol3\u00A2 spread

Price History

Risk Profile

Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment

Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation

Resolves in ~510d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Low liquidityManipulation riskLong-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

Source: Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for CA-47 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 96¢