MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
45
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
60
Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible
56
Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
20
Resolves in ~510d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk
Long-dated
Order Book
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Kalshi
If the House member sworn in for CA-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi
0%25%50%75%100%
Kalshi: 70¢