Kalshiother

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

15 outcomes

14%Before Jun 30, 2027

Trade →

ResolvesApr 1, 2027322d 6h18.7K vol1\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Price History

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible

Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

Resolves in ~412d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Long-dated

Order Book

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If Starlink confirms an IPO before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immedi...

PolymarketN/A Kalshi

14¢

PredictItN/A

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 14¢

Kalshi contracts below 20¢ show significant favorite-longshot bias. historically outperform taker (market) orders by ~20%.

Bürgi, Deng & Whelan (2025) — CESifo Working Paper 12122