Kalshiother

What will Opensea FDV be at 1 day after launch?

6 outcomes

18%$2,000,000,000+

Trade →

ResolvesJan 1, 2027232d 2h5.1K vol3\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Also trades on Polymarket (8 outcomes)

Price History

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Raw gap9¢

Fee-adjusted edge6¢

Positive EV for 36h (6 snapshots)

Risk Profile

Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment

Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible

Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Standard manipulation risk for this market depth

Resolves in ~232d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Long-dated

Order Book

Related Contracts

CorrelatedPolymarket7¢

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

CorrelatedPolymarket25¢

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 1999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes. The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data...

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 18¢

Kalshi contracts below 20¢ show significant favorite-longshot bias. historically outperform taker (market) orders by ~20%.

Bürgi, Deng & Whelan (2025) — CESifo Working Paper 12122