Kalshiother

Washington Senate winner? (2028)

2 outcomes

93%Democratic party

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ResolvesNov 7, 20291244d 22h703 vol4\u00A2 spread

RiskModerate

Price History

Risk Profile

Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment

Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted

Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected

Exchange-standard resolution criteria

Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation

Resolves in ~1245d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk

Low liquidityManipulation riskLong-dated

Order Book

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All Outcomes

Resolution Criteria

Source: Kalshi

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Washington for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

PolymarketN/A Kalshi

93¢

PredictItN/A

Consensus Landscape

Kalshi

0%25%50%75%100%

Kalshi: 93¢