MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
53
Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment
80
Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted
64
Price near 50% — maximum uncertainty, expect swings
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
20
Resolves in ~1245d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk
Low liquidityLong-dated
Order Book
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Kalshi
If Conor Lamb wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III Pennsylvania Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi
0%25%50%75%100%
Kalshi: 37¢