vol=$601,579, spread=0.0¢, OI=516684
σ=13.06%/day, AC=-0.08, 31 points
This contract has low resolution risk due to a clear, objective, and verifiable outcome: the Nasdaq-100 index closing price on a specific date (December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST) against a precise numerical threshold (19,000). The outcome depends entirely on publicly available financial market data from an official exchange, with no subjective interpretation required.
Platform default: kalshi
243d to resolution, volume rising
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 19000, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exc...