MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
42
Moderate Risk5-dimension assessment
60
Low volume — wider spreads, slippage possible
37
Moderate price certainty — some volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
30
Standard manipulation risk for this market depth
30
Resolves in ~145d — longer horizon, lower time pressure
Order Book
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Kalshi
If Ed Markey wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Massachusetts Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cross-Platform: Ed Markey
Kalshi86¢
PredictIt79¢
Spread6¢
+3.4% fee-adjusted edge
Kalshi
PI
0%25%50%75%100%
Kalshi: 86¢
PI: 79¢