MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
52
Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment
80
Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted
25
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
70
Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation
30
Resolves in ~165d — longer horizon, lower time pressure
Low liquidityManipulation risk
Order Book
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Kalshi
If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi
0%25%50%75%100%
Kalshi: 96¢