MarketsRisk Profile Consensus Landscape
Price History
51
Elevated Risk5-dimension assessment
80
Very low or unknown volume — thin market, caution warranted
25
Price strongly directional — lower volatility expected
40
Exchange-standard resolution criteria
70
Thin market at extreme price — vulnerable to price manipulation
20
Resolves in ~510d — long horizon, capital lock-up risk
Low liquidityManipulation riskLong-dated
Order Book
All Outcomes
Resolution Criteria
Source: Kalshi
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as the Attorney General of Arkansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi
0%25%50%75%100%
Kalshi: 96¢